Brewers vs Twins prediction based on Joe Ryan’s solid home run ERA in 2025

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Baseball has been a solid money maker for me over the last few weeks, with a few very bad days. Yesterday I played the Astros, and they lost the game in brutal fashion, but I won with a bet on Yordan Alvarez that tied it. He also hit a homer, so if you bet that, you had a +230 return.
Today, I switch to the game between the Brewers and the Twins.
The Milwaukee Brewers keep doing it. They find ways to win games despite losing key players and people in their organization. This year is no different. They traded Freddy Peralta, and still have a winning record. Add Peralta to the long list of people they’ve had to give up on this trip to get something in the works for a World Series title. Sometimes, though, a team has to be frustrated about making the postseason.
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Milwaukee Brewers starting pitcher Chad Patrick throws a pitch in the first inning against the Toronto Blue Jays at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wis., on April 15, 2026. (Photos by Benny Sieu/Imagn)
Currently, they are 24-17 on the year and 2.5 games behind the Cubs in the National League Central standings.
They have risks hitting them right now, maybe the team will get stronger as the year goes on. Despite trading their ace, they have a team ERA of 3.35 and a 1.23 WHIP. Chad Patrick will visit the Brewers tonight (according to DraftKings, at least). This season, Patrick has been solid with a 2-2 record, 3.06 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. He’s struggled on the road with a 5.84 ERA, and that’s due to him allowing four earned runs in each of his last two road outings. Twins hitters are 5 of 15 against Patrick.

Minnesota Twins shortstop Byron Buxton swings during a game against the Milwaukee Brewers at American Family Field in Milwaukee, Wis., on April 2, 2024. (Larry Radloff/Icon Sportswire)
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For a team that was expected to be one of the worst teams in the league, the Minnesota Twins are showing amazing progress. They will enter tonight’s game with a 20-24 record and a winning record at home. In fact, the home record is not that impressive, only 12-11, but it is much better than the losing record.
Despite hitting a .236 average, the team has scored 211 runs on the year. The pitching staff has a 4.49 ERA, but a 1.36 WHIP is at least manageable.
Tonight they have a guy who may be on the trade market if the Twins’ mild success doesn’t improve by mid-year, Joe Ryan. Most teams view Ryan as a No. 1 or No. 2 rotation pick, and there’s good reason to think so.

Joe Ryan of the Minnesota Twins delivers a pitch against the Cleveland Guardians in the first inning at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minn., on June 21, 2022. (David Berding/Getty Images)
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Ryan is 2-3 on the year with a 3.43 ERA and 1.03 WHIP. He is the proud owner of a 2.60 home ERA as well. He started with injuries in the last two games. However, he returned last week and pitched six innings with one earned run and two hits allowed. Brewers hitters went just 14-for-69 against Ryan.
I don’t really have any player support today, other than Andrew Vaughn playing outfield. He is 2-for-12 against Ryan in his career with four strikeouts. Patrick has been decent this season, but not as reliable as Ryan. I gave the Twins this one to go five innings; that way, we don’t have to worry about any meltdowns in the bullpen.
For more information on sports betting and games, follow David on X/Twitter: @futureprez2024



